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Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)

๐Ÿ“Š Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)

Reading Supply, Demand, and Professional Activity from Price & Volume

What Is Volume Spread Analysis?

๐Ÿ’ก Definition

VSA studies the relationship between a barโ€™s volume (โ€œeffortโ€), its spread (highโˆ’low range), and the close location to infer underlying supply vs demand and the activity of informed participants. It focuses on effort vs result, background context, and confirmation on the next bars.

Big volume with weak progress hints at absorption/supply; small volume with strong progress signals lack of opposition. VSA is most powerful when combined with structure (S/R, trends, ranges) and risk rules.

Visual Overview

Key VSA Signals on a Simplified Chart

Price (candles) + VSA labels Upthrust (supply) Stopping Volume No Demand Shakeout / Spring Key S/R Volume Relative Volume

Interpret bars by effort vs result: wide spread + high volume but poor progress โ‡’ supply/absorption; narrow spread + low volume on rallies โ‡’ no demand.

Core Elements of VSA

๐Ÿ“ Spread

High โˆ’ Low. Wide spreads show strong effort; narrow spreads show little price result.

๐Ÿ“ฆ Volume (Effort)

Compare to recent bars (relative/percentile). Abnormally high or ultra-low is most informative.

๐Ÿ“ Close Location

Close relative to range (CLV). Closes near high with high vol after decline โ‡’ demand; near low with high vol โ‡’ supply.

๐Ÿงญ Background

Read prior action first (trend, S/R, climactic bars). Signals make sense within context.

Common VSA Signals

โคด๏ธ Upthrust

Wide up-bar through resistance on high vol, close near low โ‡’ supply overcame demand; watch for bearish follow-through.

๐Ÿงฑ Stopping Volume

Very high volume down-bar closing mid/high in a decline โ‡’ demand absorbing supply; expect test/markup if confirmed.

๐Ÿ™… No Demand

Narrow up-bar, low vol, close mid/high into resistance โ‡’ weak buying interest; bearish if followed by down-bar.

๐Ÿช— Shakeout / Spring

Down-bar pierces support on high vol but closes strong โ‡’ weak hands shaken; bullish on successful test.

๐Ÿงช Tests

Low-volume dip into prior supply zone. If next bar is up (no selling), continuation long is favored.

Quick Metrics & Checks

Calculations

Spread: S = High โˆ’ Low
Close Location Value (0โ€“1): CLV = (Close โˆ’ Low) / max(S, ฮต)
Relative Volume: RV = Vol / median(Volโ‚™) (e.g., n=20)
Effort vs Result: High RV + Narrow S โ‡’ absorption; Low RV + Wide S โ‡’ little opposition

Signal Validation

Context: Is signal at S/R, after trend/climax, within range?
Next Bar: Up/down confirmation after the signal bar?
Volume Qualifier: High/Ultra-high or Low vs lookback?
Risk Plan: Stop beyond signal bar extremum; target at opposing S/R.

Why VSA Works (Practically)

  • Effort vs Result: When big effort produces little result, strong hands are absorbing.
  • Liquidity Footprints: Climax, absorption, and tests leave consistent volume patterns.
  • Behavioral Edges: Shakeouts and upthrusts exploit crowd stops and fear/greed swings.
  • Context-First: Signals near key levels carry more information than in the middle of ranges.

Practical VSA Playbook

Step-by-Step

1) Mark HTF S/R, trend, ranges. Identify background (accumulation/distribution).

2) Scan for climactic bars (ultra-high vol, wide spreads) and subsequent tests.

3) Wait for a signal at location: upthrust at resistance, spring at support, no-demand at prior supply.

4) Confirm on next bar (direction + volume qualifier). Place stop beyond signal bar.

5) Manage to MTF levels (previous swing/POC/VAH-VAL). Trail under/over tests.

Common Mistakes

โš ๏ธ Avoid These Errors

  • Trading signals without background context or next-bar confirmation.
  • Using fixed volume thresholds across sessions/instruments (normalize first).
  • Ignoring time-of-day/news effects on volume (opens, closes, events).
  • Forcing VSA labels on random bars in the middle of ranges.
  • Stops inside signal bar (too tight for noisy retests).

Advanced Concepts & Integrations

๐Ÿ—๏ธ Wyckoff Phases

Map PSY/SC/AR/ST/Spring/TEST/LPS/BU to structure; trade tests and last points of support/resistance.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Volume Profile + VSA

Read absorption at HVNs/POC; look for springs at LVNs/edges of value (VAL/VAH).

๐Ÿงฎ Relative Volume Z-Scores

Standardize volume by session (z = (V โˆ’ ฮผ)/ฯƒ) to define โ€œultra-high/lowโ€ objectively.

๐Ÿงญ Event-Aware Filters

Exclude/flag bars around earnings/FOMC where volume regimes differ.

The Bottom Line

VSA decodes the tug-of-war between supply and demand by comparing effort (volume) to result (spread/close) in context. Focus on climaxes, tests, and signals at key levels, confirm on the next bar, and manage risk beyond the signal bar. Used with structure, it offers precise, high-quality entries.